“Over the last century we have seen a reduction of the overall amount of ice in the Arctic Ocean, reducing in area and thickness,” Stroeve continues. “Today’s end-of-summer ice cover is 40-50% less than it was 100 years ago and all climate models and observationally based studies suggest the first ice-free summers will occur by 2050.” This, she adds, will create a profound transformation and is something that hasn’t occurred for at least 130,000 years. It will further warm the Arctic, leading to enhanced ice melt from places like Greenland, and thaw permafrost, destabilizing communities all around the Arctic Ocean.

Aslund says that when he released the latest pictures from his 2024 series, he faced some of the same criticism that he received in 2002. “I’m amazed how in 2024 people are still not believing what they see. The whole point of this project is that an image shows more than a thousand words, and that this is real, but still people have problems believing in it,” he says.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if 10 years from now, most of what we documented will completely disappear. Unfortunately, if we don’t pull any major handbrake very soon, I think that will be that will be the case.”